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Finding Dark Matter Faster with Explicit Profile Likelihoods

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arxiv 2003.12483 v2 pith:X4AFX7VU submitted 2020-03-27 physics.ins-det astro-ph.COastro-ph.IMhep-ex

Finding Dark Matter Faster with Explicit Profile Likelihoods

classification physics.ins-det astro-ph.COastro-ph.IMhep-ex
keywords darkmatterallowsanalysisbackgroundsbetterbringcalculation
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Liquid xenon time-projection chambers are the world's most sensitive detectors for a wide range of dark matter candidates. We show that the statistical analysis of their data can be improved by replacing detector response Monte Carlo simulations with an equivalent deterministic calculation. This allows the use of high-dimensional undiscretized models, yielding up to $\sim\! 2$ times better discrimination of the dominant backgrounds. In turn, this could significantly extend the physics reach of upcoming experiments such as XENONnT and LZ, and bring forward a potential $5 \sigma$ dark matter discovery by over a year.

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