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Several open-source LLMs vary in accuracy by up to 76 points on the same few-shot task due to minor prompt formatting differences.

Reviewed by Pith at T0; open to challenge. T0 means a machine referee read the full paper against a public rubric. the ladder, T0–T4 →

T0 review · grok-4.3

2026-05-17 01:55 UTC pith:2FLK2MWJ

load-bearing objection LLM few-shot accuracy can swing by up to 76 points from small prompt formatting changes, and FormatSpread gives a practical way to report ranges instead of single numbers. the 2 major comments →

arxiv 2310.11324 v2 pith:2FLK2MWJ submitted 2023-10-17 cs.CL cs.AIcs.LG

Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting

classification cs.CL cs.AIcs.LG
keywords prompt sensitivityLLM evaluationfew-shot promptingprompt formattingmodel comparison
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved

The pith

A machine-rendered reading of the paper's core claim, the machinery that carries it, and where it could break.

The paper demonstrates that popular large language models are highly sensitive to subtle, meaning-preserving changes in how few-shot prompts are formatted. This sensitivity produces large performance gaps, such as 76 accuracy points on LLaMA-2-13B, and persists even when models grow larger, receive more examples, or undergo instruction tuning. Different models also favor different formats, so comparing them with one arbitrarily chosen format lacks validity. To make evaluation more reliable, the authors introduce FormatSpread, an algorithm that samples many plausible formats and reports the resulting performance interval without needing model weights.

Core claim

Large language models exhibit extreme sensitivity to prompt formatting in few-shot settings, where minor changes that preserve meaning can alter performance by as much as 76 accuracy points on models like LLaMA-2-13B. This effect holds across increases in model size, number of shots, and even after instruction tuning. Analysis reveals weak correlation in format preferences across models, challenging the practice of evaluating and comparing models with a single fixed prompt format. The work introduces FormatSpread to efficiently sample and report performance ranges over plausible formats.

What carries the argument

FormatSpread, an algorithm that samples a set of plausible prompt formats for a task and computes the expected performance interval without requiring access to model weights.

Load-bearing premise

The tested formatting variations and the formats sampled by FormatSpread adequately represent the full space of meaning-preserving prompt designs that real users might employ.

What would settle it

Testing a much broader set of prompt formats on LLaMA-2-13B and finding performance variation substantially below 76 accuracy points would weaken the sensitivity claim.

Watch this falsifier — get emailed when new claim-graph text bears on it.

If this is right

  • Evaluations of LLMs should report performance ranges across multiple plausible prompt formats rather than single-point estimates.
  • Direct comparisons between models using one fixed prompt format are unreliable because format performance correlates only weakly across models.
  • Sensitivity to formatting persists even as models increase in size or receive instruction tuning.
  • Researchers must consider a wider space of prompt designs when assessing model capabilities on few-shot tasks.

Where Pith is reading between the lines

These are editorial extensions of the paper, not claims the author makes directly.

  • If format sensitivity reaches this level, many published benchmark scores may partly reflect the chosen formatting rather than intrinsic model ability.
  • Applying FormatSpread to additional tasks and models could reveal whether the issue is concentrated in particular domains or architectures.
  • One extension would be to check whether closed-source models accessed only via API show comparable sensitivity when FormatSpread is run through their interfaces.

Editorial analysis

A structured set of objections, weighed in public.

Desk editor's note, referee report, simulated authors' rebuttal, and a circularity audit.

Referee Report

2 major / 2 minor

Summary. The paper claims that several widely used open-source LLMs are extremely sensitive to subtle changes in prompt formatting in few-shot settings, with performance differences of up to 76 accuracy points on LLaMA-2-13B. Sensitivity persists across model sizes, few-shot example counts, and instruction tuning. The authors argue that single-format reporting is insufficient and propose FormatSpread, an algorithm that samples plausible prompt formats via atomic perturbations (separators, verbalizers, ordering) to report performance intervals without model weight access. They further show weak cross-model format correlations, questioning fixed-format model comparisons, and analyze the influence of specific perturbations on internal representations.

Significance. If the empirical results hold after addressing validation gaps, this work would meaningfully advance LLM evaluation methodology by demonstrating that prompt formatting can dominate reported accuracies and by providing a practical, model-agnostic tool (FormatSpread) for quantifying variability. It supplies concrete numbers across multiple models and regimes, supporting calls for range reporting over single-point estimates and highlighting risks in current benchmarking practices.

major comments (2)
  1. [§3 (FormatSpread)] §3 (FormatSpread description): The central claim that sampled formats are both plausible and meaning-preserving rests on the unvalidated assumption that combinations of atomic changes (e.g., bullet styles, newlines, label verbalizers) produce a representative distribution of user-like prompts. No human semantic-equivalence ratings, usage-log comparison, or external anchor is reported, which directly affects whether the 76-point spread on LLaMA-2-13B should be interpreted as genuine sensitivity or as an artifact of implausible tokenization/attention shifts.
  2. [Experimental results] Experimental setup and results sections: The headline sensitivity numbers and persistence claims lack reported details on data splits, number of evaluation runs per format, or statistical tests for the performance intervals. Without these, it is difficult to gauge whether the observed ranges are robust or sensitive to sampling variance in the FormatSpread procedure.
minor comments (2)
  1. [Abstract] Abstract: The maximum 76-point difference is stated without naming the specific task or dataset; adding this detail would improve immediate interpretability.
  2. [Analysis section] Analysis of atomic perturbations: The discussion of which formatting elements drive the largest changes could be strengthened by reporting effect sizes or ablation tables rather than qualitative observations alone.

Simulated Author's Rebuttal

2 responses · 0 unresolved

We thank the referee for the careful reading and constructive feedback. We address each major comment below. Where the manuscript is missing details or justification, we will revise accordingly.

read point-by-point responses
  1. Referee: [§3 (FormatSpread)] §3 (FormatSpread description): The central claim that sampled formats are both plausible and meaning-preserving rests on the unvalidated assumption that combinations of atomic changes (e.g., bullet styles, newlines, label verbalizers) produce a representative distribution of user-like prompts. No human semantic-equivalence ratings, usage-log comparison, or external anchor is reported, which directly affects whether the 76-point spread on LLaMA-2-13B should be interpreted as genuine sensitivity or as an artifact of implausible tokenization/attention shifts.

    Authors: The atomic perturbations are restricted to formatting elements that do not alter the underlying task semantics or example content; each variant remains a valid few-shot prompt for the same classification task. While we did not conduct new human equivalence ratings, the perturbation types are drawn from variations routinely used in the prompting literature and in public model cards. The observed spreads therefore demonstrate sensitivity to these standard formatting choices rather than to arbitrary or nonsensical strings. We will add an explicit discussion of the design rationale for the perturbation set and a note on its relation to documented prompting practices. revision: partial

  2. Referee: [Experimental results] Experimental setup and results sections: The headline sensitivity numbers and persistence claims lack reported details on data splits, number of evaluation runs per format, or statistical tests for the performance intervals. Without these, it is difficult to gauge whether the observed ranges are robust or sensitive to sampling variance in the FormatSpread procedure.

    Authors: We will expand the experimental sections to specify the exact train/test splits, the number of independent evaluation runs performed per format, and the statistical measures (e.g., standard deviation or bootstrap intervals) used to characterize the reported performance ranges. These additions will allow readers to assess sampling variance directly. revision: yes

Circularity Check

0 steps flagged

No circularity: results from direct empirical runs on held-out tasks

full rationale

The paper performs direct model evaluations on sampled prompt formats for standard benchmarks, measuring accuracy differences without any derivation chain, equations, or parameters that reduce to author-defined inputs by construction. FormatSpread is a sampling procedure whose outputs are observed performance intervals, not predictions fitted to the same data. No self-definitional steps, fitted-input predictions, or load-bearing self-citations appear in the core claims; the work is self-contained against external model runs.

Axiom & Free-Parameter Ledger

0 free parameters · 1 axioms · 0 invented entities

The central claim rests on standard few-shot evaluation assumptions and the representativeness of the chosen formatting perturbations; no new entities or fitted parameters are introduced in the abstract.

axioms (1)
  • domain assumption Standard few-shot in-context learning evaluation practices produce meaningful performance estimates
    The paper measures accuracy on tasks under few-shot prompting without questioning the validity of that paradigm itself.

pith-pipeline@v0.9.0 · 5578 in / 1199 out tokens · 60740 ms · 2026-05-17T01:55:08.702657+00:00 · methodology

0 comments
read the original abstract

As large language models (LLMs) are adopted as a fundamental component of language technologies, it is crucial to accurately characterize their performance. Because choices in prompt design can strongly influence model behavior, this design process is critical in effectively using any modern pre-trained generative language model. In this work, we focus on LLM sensitivity to a quintessential class of meaning-preserving design choices: prompt formatting. We find that several widely used open-source LLMs are extremely sensitive to subtle changes in prompt formatting in few-shot settings, with performance differences of up to 76 accuracy points when evaluated using LLaMA-2-13B. Sensitivity remains even when increasing model size, the number of few-shot examples, or performing instruction tuning. Our analysis suggests that work evaluating LLMs with prompting-based methods would benefit from reporting a range of performance across plausible prompt formats, instead of the currently-standard practice of reporting performance on a single format. We also show that format performance only weakly correlates between models, which puts into question the methodological validity of comparing models with an arbitrarily chosen, fixed prompt format. To facilitate systematic analysis we propose FormatSpread, an algorithm that rapidly evaluates a sampled set of plausible prompt formats for a given task, and reports the interval of expected performance without accessing model weights. Furthermore, we present a suite of analyses that characterize the nature of this sensitivity, including exploring the influence of particular atomic perturbations and the internal representation of particular formats.

discussion (0)

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