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Calibration of Encoder Decoder Models for Neural Machine Translation

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arxiv 1903.00802 v1 pith:VA6WDHK6 submitted 2019-03-03 cs.LG cs.CLstat.ML

Calibration of Encoder Decoder Models for Neural Machine Translation

classification cs.LG cs.CLstat.ML
keywords calibrationmodelsbeam-searchmachineneuraltranslationaccuracyattention
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We study the calibration of several state of the art neural machine translation(NMT) systems built on attention-based encoder-decoder models. For structured outputs like in NMT, calibration is important not just for reliable confidence with predictions, but also for proper functioning of beam-search inference. We show that most modern NMT models are surprisingly miscalibrated even when conditioned on the true previous tokens. Our investigation leads to two main reasons -- severe miscalibration of EOS (end of sequence marker) and suppression of attention uncertainty. We design recalibration methods based on these signals and demonstrate improved accuracy, better sequence-level calibration, and more intuitive results from beam-search.

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Cited by 5 Pith papers

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    cs.AI 2026-05 unverdicted novelty 6.0

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  3. ECUAS$_n$: A family of metrics for principled evaluation of uncertainty-augmented systems

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    ECUAS_n is a parameterized family of proper scoring rules for jointly assessing prediction accuracy and uncertainty quality in automated decision systems.

  4. Speaking in Self-Assessing Tongues: On the Verbalized Confidence of LLMs in Machine Translation

    cs.CL 2026-06 unverdicted novelty 5.0

    Empirical study finds verbalized per-token confidence methods in LLMs for MT perform similarly to internal signals on error detection and calibration but show little correlation.

  5. Confident in a Confidence Score: Investigating the Sensitivity of Confidence Scores to Supervised Fine-Tuning

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    Supervised fine-tuning degrades the correlation between confidence scores and output quality in language models, driven by factors like training distribution similarity rather than true quality.