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Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Design

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arxiv 2302.10607 v2 pith:YUMZEIXJ submitted 2023-02-21 cs.LG cs.AIstat.ME

Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Design

classification cs.LG cs.AIstat.ME
keywords batchcausaldesignbayesianblack-boxexistingexperimentalgradient-based
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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We introduce a gradient-based approach for the problem of Bayesian optimal experimental design to learn causal models in a batch setting -- a critical component for causal discovery from finite data where interventions can be costly or risky. Existing methods rely on greedy approximations to construct a batch of experiments while using black-box methods to optimize over a single target-state pair to intervene with. In this work, we completely dispose of the black-box optimization techniques and greedy heuristics and instead propose a conceptually simple end-to-end gradient-based optimization procedure to acquire a set of optimal intervention target-state pairs. Such a procedure enables parameterization of the design space to efficiently optimize over a batch of multi-target-state interventions, a setting which has hitherto not been explored due to its complexity. We demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms baselines and existing acquisition strategies in both single-target and multi-target settings across a number of synthetic datasets.

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