Tail bounds for the O'Connell-Yor polymer

We derive upper and lower bounds for the upper and lower tails of the O'Connell-Yor polymer of the correct order of magnitude via probabilistic and geometric techniques in the moderate deviations regime. The inputs of our work are an identity for the generating function of a two-parameter model of Rains and Emrah-Janjigian-Sepp\"al\"ainen, and the geometric techniques of Ganguly-Hegde and Basu-Ganguly-Hammond-Hegde. As an intermediate result we obtain strong tail estimates for the transversal fluctuation of the polymer path from the diagonal.