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arxiv 2106.13819 v2 pith:BJMAK33E submitted 2021-06-25 gr-qc astro-ph.GAastro-ph.HE

Discriminating between different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes with LISA

classification gr-qc astro-ph.GAastro-ph.HE
keywords blackmassivedifferentlisaholeholesobservationserrors
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Electromagnetic observations have provided strong evidence for the existence of massive black holes in the center of galaxies, but their origin is still poorly known. Different scenarios for the formation and evolution of massive black holes lead to different predictions for their properties and merger rates. LISA observations of coalescing massive black hole binaries could be used to reverse engineer the problem and shed light on these mechanisms. In this paper, we introduce a pipeline based on hierarchical Bayesian inference to infer the mixing fraction between different theoretical models by comparing them to LISA observations of massive black hole mergers. By testing this pipeline against simulated LISA data, we show that it allows us to accurately infer the properties of the massive black hole population as long as our theoretical models provide a reliable description of the Universe. We also show that measurement errors, including both instrumental noise and weak lensing errors, have little impact on the inference.

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  1. Environmental effects vs. modified gravity in the LISA massive black hole binary population

    gr-qc 2026-07 unverdicted novelty 4.0

    Population-level hierarchical analysis shows environmental effects from circumbinary disks are unlikely to bias LISA tests of general relativity for massive black hole binaries in realistic scenarios.