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The continuing search for evidence of tidal orbital decay of hot Jupiters

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arxiv 2002.02606 v1 pith:GT6LG3PW submitted 2020-02-07 astro-ph.EP astro-ph.SR

The continuing search for evidence of tidal orbital decay of hot Jupiters

classification astro-ph.EP astro-ph.SR
keywords orbitaldecaytidalsystemswasp-12beendataevidence
verification ladder T0 review T1 audit T2 compute T3 formal T4 reserved
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Many of the known hot Jupiters are formally unstable to tidal orbital decay. The only hot Jupiter for which orbital decay has been directly detected is WASP-12, for which transit timing measurements spanning more than a decade have revealed that the orbital period is decreasing at a rate of $dP/dt\approx 10^{-9}$, corresponding to a reduced tidal quality factor of about $2\times 10^5$. Here, we present a compilation of transit-timing data for WASP-12 and eleven other systems which are especially favorable for detecting orbital decay: KELT-16; WASP-18, 19, 43, 72, 103, 114, and 122; HAT-P-23; HATS-18; and OGLE-TR-56. For most of these systems we present new data that extend the time baseline over which observations have been performed. None of the systems besides WASP-12 displays convincing evidence for period changes, with typical upper limits on $dP/dt$ on the order of $10^{-9}$ or $10^{-10}$, and lower limits on the reduced tidal quality factor on the order of $10^5$. One possible exception is WASP-19, which shows a statistically significant trend, although it may be a spurious effect of starspot activity. Further observations are encouraged.

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