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Improved survival of cancer patients admitted to the ICU between 2002 and 2011 at a U.S. teaching hospital

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arxiv 1808.02766 v1 pith:XAFKPKJ7 submitted 2018-08-06 q-bio.QM stat.APstat.ML

Improved survival of cancer patients admitted to the ICU between 2002 and 2011 at a U.S. teaching hospital

classification q-bio.QM stat.APstat.ML
keywords patientscancermortalityyearadmittedcarecriticalsurvival
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Over the past decades, both critical care and cancer care have improved substantially. Due to increased cancer-specific survival, we hypothesized that both the number of cancer patients admitted to the ICU and overall survival have increased since the millennium change. MIMIC-III, a freely accessible critical care database of Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, USA was used to retrospectively study trends and outcomes of cancer patients admitted to the ICU between 2002 and 2011. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to adjust for confounders of 28-day and 1-year mortality. Out of 41,468 unique ICU admissions, 1,100 hemato-oncologic, 3,953 oncologic and 49 patients with both a hematological and solid malignancy were analyzed. Hematological patients had higher critical illness scores than non-cancer patients, while oncologic patients had similar APACHE-III and SOFA-scores compared to non-cancer patients. In the univariate analysis, cancer was strongly associated with mortality (OR= 2.74, 95%CI: 2.56, 2.94). Over the 10-year study period, 28-day mortality of cancer patients decreased by 30%. This trend persisted after adjustment for covariates, with cancer patients having significantly higher mortality (OR=2.63, 95%CI: 2.38, 2.88). Between 2002 and 2011, both the adjusted odds of 28-day mortality and the adjusted odds of 1-year mortality for cancer patients decreased by 6% (95%CI: 4%, 9%). Having cancer was the strongest single predictor of 1-year mortality in the multivariate model (OR=4.47, 95%CI: 4.11, 4.84).

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