LLM surrogate beliefs under sparse observations depend on prompts and query protocols, with structural prompts as priors, pointwise vs joint querying producing different beliefs, and sequential evidence causing non-monotonic updates that affect acquisition and regret.
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Elicitation Matters: How Prompts and Query Protocols Shape LLM Surrogates under Sparse Observations
LLM surrogate beliefs under sparse observations depend on prompts and query protocols, with structural prompts as priors, pointwise vs joint querying producing different beliefs, and sequential evidence causing non-monotonic updates that affect acquisition and regret.