Simulations of PTA data show that a full gravitational-wave signal template achieves the highest Bayes factors and most robust parameter estimation for individual supermassive black hole binaries compared to an Earth-term template and a novel Spike Pixel cross-correlation model.
Multi-Messenger Astrophysics with Pulsar Timing Arrays
2 Pith papers cite this work. Polarity classification is still indexing.
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abstract
Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) are on the verge of detecting low-frequency gravitational waves (GWs) from supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs). With continued observations of a large sample of millisecond pulsars, PTAs will reach this major milestone within the next decade. Already, SMBHB candidates are being identified by electromagnetic surveys in ever-increasing numbers; upcoming surveys will enhance our ability to detect and verify candidates, and will be instrumental in identifying the host galaxies of GW sources. Multi-messenger (GW and electromagnetic) observations of SMBHBs will revolutionize our understanding of the co-evolution of SMBHs with their host galaxies, the dynamical interactions between binaries and their galactic environments, and the fundamental physics of accretion. Multi-messenger observations can also make SMBHBs 'standard sirens' for cosmological distance measurements out to $z\simeq0.5$. LIGO has already ushered in breakthrough insights in our knowledge of black holes. The multi-messenger detection of SMBHBs with PTAs will be a breakthrough in the years $2020-2030$ and beyond, and prepare us for LISA to help complete our views of black hole demographics and evolution at higher redshifts.
verdicts
UNVERDICTED 2representative citing papers
Simulations forecast 21-51% probability of resolving individual SMBH binaries with PTAs in 0-10 years, with localization areas containing ~190k early-type galaxies on average and a ranking method that excludes roughly half the candidates when galaxy properties are available.
citing papers explorer
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Expectations for the first supermassive black-hole binary resolved by PTAs I: Model efficacy
Simulations of PTA data show that a full gravitational-wave signal template achieves the highest Bayes factors and most robust parameter estimation for individual supermassive black hole binaries compared to an Earth-term template and a novel Spike Pixel cross-correlation model.
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Prospects of resolving and localising individual supermassive black hole binaries with pulsar timing arrays: the host ranking challenge
Simulations forecast 21-51% probability of resolving individual SMBH binaries with PTAs in 0-10 years, with localization areas containing ~190k early-type galaxies on average and a ranking method that excludes roughly half the candidates when galaxy properties are available.